IMF raises China’s economic growth forecast

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised its forecast for China’s economic growth in 2025 and 2026 to 5.0 and 4.5 percent respectively in its updated World Economic Outlook released on Monday.

This upward revision reflects stronger economic activity supported by stimulus measures and additional investment financing from policy banks, which have helped sustain domestic demand and bolster confidence amid external pressures. According to the IMF, the global economy is expected to remain relatively resilient despite trade disruptions and geopolitical uncertainties.

The IMF projects global growth to reach approximately 3.3 percent in 2026, an upward adjustment of 0.2 percentage points from its October forecast, with stronger performance in major economies such as the United States and China contributing to the revision. China’s stronger outlook is partly due to improved export performance and supportive fiscal and credit policies, the report said.